沙田 · 2022-03-12 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-03-12沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的COPARTNER AMBITION勝出，贏出1-1/4。RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE獲得亞軍；HARMONY WIN WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 94.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HARMONY WIN WIN 後段發力 SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | DECRYPT 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 13 | 78.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECT PAIR 後段發力 SR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 4.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER WINNER TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 72.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 60.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | REVE PARISIEN 早段領放 B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 134.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP1/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 2 | 11.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GOLD MARQUIS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 3.6 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 85.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 18.7% | 5.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | GOLD MARQUIS | 18.5% | 5.41 | 13 |
| 3 | 13 | OSCAR GLORY | 13.5% | 7.39 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME | 12.1% | 8.24 | 14 |
| 5 | 3 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 9.9% | 10.09 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECT PAIR | 7.2% | 13.93 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER WINNER | 3.9% | 25.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.7% | 26.79 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 2.9% | 34.64 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 2.8% | 35.50 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | BEAUTY NOVA | 2.0% | 50.41 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | POWERFUL WINGS | 2.0% | 51.02 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | REVE PARISIEN | 1.4% | 71.78 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | DECRYPT | 1.4% | 72.01 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 30.5
PLACE
1 14
11 62
14 155
QUINELLA
1,14 1,267
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 147
1,14 355.5
11,14 1,950
FORECAST
1,14 2,925
TIERCE
1,14,11 28,935
TRIO
1,11,14 6,064
FIRST 4
1,2,11,14 80,863
QUARTET
1,14,11,2 1,014,965
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 388.5
5/14 1,787.5