Sha Tin · 2022-03-12 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PACKING TREADMILL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/2, with SCIENCE PATCH second and GOOD BEAUTY third. The 1.9 favourite FUN N GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL SR 1.09.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | SCIENCE PATCH B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | FUN N GLORY TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 4 | 1.9 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | GALLANT HERO H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 5 | 88.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BIRDSVILLE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | MOERAKI B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 5.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 169.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW SR1/TT1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 3 | 38.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.6 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FUN N GLORY | 28.5% | 3.51 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL | 24.0% | 4.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SCIENCE PATCH | 7.6% | 13.14 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD BEAUTY | 6.6% | 15.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS | 6.4% | 15.70 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW | 5.6% | 17.90 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 5.2% | 19.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | GALLANT HERO | 3.9% | 25.84 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | MOERAKI | 3.7% | 27.13 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 3.6% | 28.08 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | BIRDSVILLE | 3.3% | 30.14 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | TURIN WARRIOR | 1.8% | 56.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 53
PLACE
3 16
4 26.5
12 58
QUINELLA
3,4 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 75.5
3,12 145.5
4,12 271
FORECAST
3,4 474
TIERCE
3,4,12 5,351
TRIO
3,4,12 1,522
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 437
QUARTET
3,4,12,8 14,378
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 118
1/4 63.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,13/1,2,8/Any Combination 9,248