沙田 · 2022-04-10 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-04-10沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的SILVER EXPRESS勝出，贏出HD。GOOD LUCK FRIEND獲得亞軍；IMA SINGLE MAN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.0倍大熱門CAPTAIN WIN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS 一路領先 B 1.22.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 6.9 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND 後段發力 CP/TT1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.6 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN 後段發力 H/CP2/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WINNER METHOD 後段發力 TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NAVAS TWO 後段發力 CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 13 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING METHOD 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN B- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 61.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO B-/CP2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | BOURBONAIRE 後段發力 H1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | BAND OF BROTHERS V K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 130.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | THE RUNNER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 46.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS | 16.0% | 6.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 14.2% | 7.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | NAVAS TWO | 12.4% | 8.03 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN | 11.3% | 8.82 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | WINNER METHOD | 5.7% | 17.44 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING METHOD | 5.6% | 17.82 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | THE RUNNER | 4.7% | 21.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO | 3.6% | 27.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.4% | 42.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.0% | 48.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.9% | 52.66 | 3 |
| 13 | 8 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.4% | 70.62 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 69.5
PLACE
1 27.5
5 53.5
9 23.5
QUINELLA
1,9 234
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 231
1,9 89.5
5,9 199.5
FORECAST
1,9 473
TIERCE
1,9,5 7,104
TRIO
1,5,9 1,469
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 3,688
QUARTET
1,9,5,13 65,272
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 24.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/1,5,9 29,934
9TH DOUBLE
1/1 187.5
1/9 55
SIX UP
11/13/1/4/1/1 68,801
11,13/3,13/1,2/4,8/1,9/1,9 4,110
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/1/1 691
4/1/9 146