Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS Wire to wire B 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 6.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND Closed strongly CP/TT1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN Closed strongly H/CP2/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNER METHOD Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 13 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN B- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 61.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO B-/CP2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS V K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 130.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | THE RUNNER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 46.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SILVER EXPRESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by HD, with GOOD LUCK FRIEND second and IMA SINGLE MAN third. The winner led throughout. The 4.0 favourite CAPTAIN WIN finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 16.0% | 6.23 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 14.2% | 7.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NAVAS TWO | 12.4% | 8.03 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 11.3% | 8.82 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 5.7% | 17.44 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 5.6% | 17.82 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 4.7% | 21.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 3.6% | 27.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.4% | 42.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.0% | 48.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.9% | 52.66 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.4% | 70.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 69.5
PLACE
1 27.5
5 53.5
9 23.5
QUINELLA
1,9 234
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 231
1,9 89.5
5,9 199.5
FORECAST
1,9 473
TIERCE
1,9,5 7,104
TRIO
1,5,9 1,469
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 3,688
QUARTET
1,9,5,13 65,272
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/1,5,9 29,934
9TH DOUBLE
1/1 187.5
1/9 55
SIX UP
11/13/1/4/1/1 68,801
11,13/3,13/1,2/4,8/1,9/1,9 4,110
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/1/1 691
4/1/9 146