Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DAILY CHARM, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with FLYING MIGHTY second and DAILY BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite FLYING MIGHTY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly PC-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 9 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 2 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY FOREVER XB/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE TRIPLE K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | PRIME STAR Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 13 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY P A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | 24-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY | 25.0% | 3.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | DAILY BEAUTY | 16.1% | 6.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 10.6% | 9.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | JOLLY FOREVER | 8.1% | 12.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.9% | 14.49 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.4% | 18.50 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | PRIME STAR | 5.1% | 19.47 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK | 4.5% | 22.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | OH BRAVO | 4.4% | 22.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.2% | 31.51 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING | 2.7% | 36.49 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.9% | 51.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 1.7% | 58.21 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 43.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 18.5
8 43.5
QUINELLA
1,2 122
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 51
1,8 122
2,8 134.5
FORECAST
1,2 210
TIERCE
1,2,8 2,351
TRIO
1,2,8 632
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,333
QUARTET
1,2,8,10 26,004
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,2,8 779,213
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 2,899.5
6/2 450.5