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Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.46.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 3 2.1 1/2
2 0 INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard 7 12.0 1/2
3 0 COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 9 7.5 3/4
4 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So 13 82.0 3/4
5 0 SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 6 40.0 1-1/4
6 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size 2 10.0 1-1/2
7 0 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 12 68.0 1-3/4
8 0 VICTORY PARK Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 5 14.0 2-1/2
9 0 DARCI JOY B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 11 5.3 5-1/2
10 0 CHAMPION DRAGON Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 10 37.0 5-1/2
11 0 POWERFUL WINGS K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 31.0 6-3/4
12 0 SURREALISM B L Hewitson · R Gibson 4 71.0 16-1/2
13 0 SAVVY KINGMAN Z Purton · F C Lor 14 23.0 37-1/4
14 0 ENZEMBLE XB-/H/TT M F Poon · K L Man 8 58.0 44-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with INTREPID WINNER second and COPARTNER ELITES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY—2. INTREPID WINNER+0.5L3. COPARTNER ELITES+0.75L4. ENTRUSTED+0.75L5. SMILING TIME+1.25L6. CROSSFORD+1.5L7. FIVE G PATCH+1.75L8. VICTORY PARK+2.5L9. DARCI JOY+5.5L10. CHAMPION DRAGON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RUNNING GLORY (38.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RUNNING GLORY 38.3% 2.61 1
2 0 SAVVY KINGMAN 19.1% 5.24 13
3 0 DARCI JOY 8.7% 11.48 9
4 0 COPARTNER ELITES 6.0% 16.57 3
5 0 POWERFUL WINGS 5.5% 18.08 11
6 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 3.3% 30.68 10
7 0 CROSSFORD 3.2% 31.29 6
8 0 VICTORY PARK 3.1% 32.37 8
9 0 INTREPID WINNER 3.0% 33.36 2
10 0 ENZEMBLE 3.0% 33.80 14
11 0 SMILING TIME 2.5% 40.57 5
12 0 ENTRUSTED 1.5% 66.07 4
13 0 SURREALISM 1.4% 69.10 12
14 0 FIVE G PATCH 1.4% 72.05 7
RUNNING GLORY — wonSAVVY KINGMANDARCI JOYCOPARTNER ELITESPOWERFUL WINGSCHAMPION DRAGONCROSSFORDVICTORY PARKINTREPID WINNERENZEMBLESMILING TIMEENTRUSTEDSURREALISMFIVE G PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 21.5

PLACE

4 11.5

5 21.5

8 32.5

QUINELLA

4,8 137

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 34

4,8 53.5

5,8 130

FORECAST

4,8 235

TIERCE

4,8,5 1,424

TRIO

4,5,8 292

FIRST 4

4,5,6,8 4,724

QUARTET

4,8,5,6 47,047

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 17

7TH DOUBLE

1/4 46

1/8 99