Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with INTREPID WINNER second and COPARTNER ELITES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.46.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 2.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 7 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 7.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 13 | 82.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 12 | 68.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY PARK Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | DARCI JOY B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 10 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | POWERFUL WINGS K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SURREALISM B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 4 | 71.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | SAVVY KINGMAN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 23.0 | 37-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | ENZEMBLE XB-/H/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 58.0 | 44-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUNNING GLORY | 38.3% | 2.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 19.1% | 5.24 | 13 |
| 3 | 13 | DARCI JOY | 8.7% | 11.48 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | COPARTNER ELITES | 6.0% | 16.57 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | POWERFUL WINGS | 5.5% | 18.08 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | CROSSFORD | 3.2% | 31.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY PARK | 3.1% | 32.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | INTREPID WINNER | 3.0% | 33.36 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | ENZEMBLE | 3.0% | 33.80 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | SMILING TIME | 2.5% | 40.57 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | ENTRUSTED | 1.5% | 66.07 | 4 |
| 13 | 12 | SURREALISM | 1.4% | 69.10 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 1.4% | 72.05 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21.5
PLACE
4 11.5
5 21.5
8 32.5
QUINELLA
4,8 137
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 34
4,8 53.5
5,8 130
FORECAST
4,8 235
TIERCE
4,8,5 1,424
TRIO
4,5,8 292
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 4,724
QUARTET
4,8,5,6 47,047
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/4 46
1/8 99