Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 16:07
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB 0.55.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 1.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | STOLTZ CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 7.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CARROLL STREET B/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VALIANT DREAM K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN P1/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 75.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 94.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. NERVOUS WITNESS, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with STOLTZ second and CARROLL STREET third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 34.9% | 2.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STOLTZ | 24.9% | 4.01 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN | 15.8% | 6.35 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.3% | 12.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CARROLL STREET | 5.9% | 16.83 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | VALIANT DREAM | 5.1% | 19.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO | 3.0% | 33.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.2% | 84.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 0.8% | 126.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 13
2 18.5
5 15.5
QUINELLA
1,2 66.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 30
1,5 22.5
2,5 58.5
FORECAST
1,2 113
TIERCE
1,2,5 417
TRIO
1,2,5 105
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 138
QUARTET
1,2,5,4 1,825
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,13/1,2,5 1,710
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5
6TH DOUBLE
13/1 226.5
13/2 120