Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 14:01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ENCHANTING IBIS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by A T Millard, won by 2-1/4, with STARRY NIGHT second and STRIVE FOR GLORY third. The 3.7 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ENCHANTING IBIS 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P1/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | EVER FORCE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | DAZZLING FELLOW TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 5 | 146.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DASSIT P- J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 3.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | IRON KING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B1/TT1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 4.1 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR H/P/XB/TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 94.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT | 32.0% | 3.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | DASSIT | 17.6% | 5.67 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 11.7% | 8.54 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | EVER FORCE | 6.9% | 14.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.0% | 19.99 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.9% | 20.37 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO | 4.6% | 21.72 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 3.0% | 33.28 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | IRON KING | 2.6% | 38.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 2.3% | 42.88 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 1.0% | 98.30 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 452
PLACE
4 17
6 81.5
12 45.5
QUINELLA
4,6 753.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 248.5
4,12 157.5
6,12 906
FORECAST
6,4 2,031
TIERCE
6,4,12 30,646
TRIO
4,6,12 4,192
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 8,423
QUARTET
6,4,12,3 291,758
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/4 30.5
6/6 1,941.5
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —