Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WONDERFUL WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by NOSE, with FLYING HIGH second and CHEVAL VALIANT third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WONDERFUL WARRIOR 0.56.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 1.6 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GLORIFIED FIRE B1 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL XB-/H1 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | M M NEBULA CP1/TT1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SALUTATION B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 85.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE H1/TT1 L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 9 | 148.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | FELIX THE KING CP M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 193.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WONDERFUL WARRIOR | 33.0% | 3.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND | 14.7% | 6.81 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 13.5% | 7.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 13.1% | 7.61 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 7.0% | 14.36 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | M M NEBULA | 5.4% | 18.56 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | SALUTATION | 5.2% | 19.28 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 2.7% | 36.87 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.2% | 46.19 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 1.7% | 57.15 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL | 1.1% | 94.72 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | FELIX THE KING | 0.5% | 207.48 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 16.5
PLACE
1 36.5
6 11
9 15
QUINELLA
1,6 145.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 56
1,9 79
6,9 20.5
FORECAST
6,1 269
TIERCE
6,1,9 739
TRIO
1,6,9 142
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 603
QUARTET
6,1,9,8 8,857
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5