Sha Tin · 2022-04-10 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BUZZINGA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BRILLIANT WAY second and PACKING TREADMILL third. The 2.8 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BUZZINGA TT 1.08.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 9 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 9.4 | N |
| 3 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL SR Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | MR VALIANT H/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 10 | 81.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VOYAGE BUBBLE J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PHOENIX LIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 72.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ACE ONE XB-/B/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 68.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | WAR WEAPON B-/H1/P1/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | WE ARE HERO M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 118.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/H1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 90.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL | 27.9% | 3.58 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 27.2% | 3.67 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | BUZZINGA | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | BRILLIANT WAY | 8.5% | 11.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | READY TO WIN | 4.5% | 22.44 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | WAR WEAPON | 2.8% | 35.30 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 1.9% | 52.27 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 1.5% | 67.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 1.5% | 68.07 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | WE ARE HERO | 1.1% | 91.83 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | ACE ONE | 0.8% | 123.77 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | MR VALIANT | 0.6% | 175.21 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 13
5 14
9 23
QUINELLA
1,9 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 28
1,9 39
5,9 52
FORECAST
1,9 225
TIERCE
1,9,5 883
TRIO
1,5,9 192
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 1,511
QUARTET
1,9,5,2 20,453
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 70
4/9 43