沙田 · 2022-04-10 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-04-10沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C S Shum訓練的DAILY CHARM勝出，贏出3/4。FLYING MIGHTY獲得亞軍；DAILY BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門FLYING MIGHTY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT 1.48.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 5 | 4.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | DAILY BEAUTY 後段發力 PC-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 TT B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 9 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 2 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | JOLLY FOREVER XB/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE TRIPLE K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | PRIME STAR 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | OH BRAVO 後段發力 CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 13 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | LIGHT MY DAY 早段領放 B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY P A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY | 25.0% | 3.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | DAILY BEAUTY | 16.1% | 6.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 10.6% | 9.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | JOLLY FOREVER | 8.1% | 12.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.9% | 14.49 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.4% | 18.50 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | PRIME STAR | 5.1% | 19.47 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | WAH MAY LUCK | 4.5% | 22.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | OH BRAVO | 4.4% | 22.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.2% | 31.51 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING | 2.7% | 36.49 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.9% | 51.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 1.7% | 58.21 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 43.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 18.5
8 43.5
QUINELLA
1,2 122
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 51
1,8 122
2,8 134.5
FORECAST
1,2 210
TIERCE
1,2,8 2,351
TRIO
1,2,8 632
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,333
QUARTET
1,2,8,10 26,004
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,2,8 779,213
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 2,899.5
6/2 450.5