沙田 · 2022-04-10 · 13:33
第 2場
2022-04-10沙田第2場,Class 5,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的DRAGON KINGDOM勝出,贏出1-3/4。SUNNY AND GOLD獲得亞軍;ZACIAN獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門SUNNY AND GOLD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DRAGON KINGDOM 1.09.41 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD B-/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FARM BUMPER B- J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER B2 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TOWARDS SUCCESS XB-/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 4.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY CHEERS L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE H V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER FLAMES TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 12 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | GALLANT CAVALIER B-/V1/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 51.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 22.6% | 4.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 13.0% | 7.69 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 12.5% | 7.98 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | FARM BUMPER | 12.1% | 8.25 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 9.5% | 10.56 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER | 6.6% | 15.05 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | ZACIAN | 6.4% | 15.59 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 4.8% | 20.92 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | ALL YOU KNOW | 4.7% | 21.29 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.5% | 28.73 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 2.6% | 38.80 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.7% | 58.89 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 54
PLACE
6 20
8 16.5
9 24
QUINELLA
6,8 144.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 53
6,9 82.5
8,9 50.5
FORECAST
6,8 254
TIERCE
6,8,9 1,228
TRIO
6,8,9 302
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 1,199
QUARTET
6,8,9,5 17,552
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST DOUBLE
6/6 76
6/8 29
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23.5