沙田 · 2022-04-10 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-04-10沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的NATURAL GOLD勝出，贏出1-1/2。COURAGEOUS KNIGHT獲得亞軍；JOYFUL GENIUS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.3倍大熱門JOYFUL GENIUS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NATURAL GOLD 一路領先 SR/XB 1.22.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT 後段發力 B-/SR1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 7 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 8 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | CIRCUIT ELITE TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 1 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHEERY 後段發力 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 13 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | SIXTH GENERATION H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 99.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 12 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPERB DADDY CP-/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | ACCELERANDO A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 101.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 25.0% | 3.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | CHEERY | 24.1% | 4.15 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY | 15.6% | 6.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | NATURAL GOLD | 6.5% | 15.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 5.1% | 19.71 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | CITY LEGEND | 4.2% | 24.09 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION | 4.0% | 24.92 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.3% | 30.32 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.1% | 32.63 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 3.0% | 33.50 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | ACCELERANDO | 1.8% | 54.47 | 14 |
| 12 | 2 | TURIN WARRIOR | 1.6% | 63.16 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.5% | 66.38 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.2% | 81.39 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 77
PLACE
10 13.5
11 30.5
13 50
QUINELLA
11,13 1,245.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 53
10,13 82
11,13 328.5
FORECAST
11,13 2,358
TIERCE
11,13,10 6,903
TRIO
10,11,13 748
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 884
QUARTET
11,13,10,4 37,943
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 28.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/11 441
1/13 223