沙田 · 2022-04-24 · 12:27
第 1場
2022-04-24沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的LUCKY QUALITY勝出，贏出3-1/4。FIGHTING STAR獲得亞軍；DOUBLE SHOW獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門BRAVE DREAMS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY V 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | ALL IS READY B1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 77.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | DREAM CATCHER M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 93.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SCIENCE PATCH B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 6.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT1 H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 14 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | CALL ME LU TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 208.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | VICTORIA GENERAL H-/XB1/TT- H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 12 | 118.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FORTUNE CARRIER M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 7.5 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SIGHT HERO B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 5.7 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | MIRACLES M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 68.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCIENCE PATCH | 19.9% | 5.03 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | BRAVE DREAMS | 13.2% | 7.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | RHAPSODY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 13 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 9.3% | 10.78 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | SIGHT HERO | 9.0% | 11.07 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR | 8.4% | 11.89 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 3.2% | 30.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | DREAM CATCHER | 3.2% | 31.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.1% | 32.13 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | MIRACLES | 2.3% | 44.36 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 2.0% | 50.61 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | CALL ME LU | 1.1% | 89.53 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | ALL IS READY | 1.1% | 91.15 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 104
PLACE
3 28
10 25
12 51.5
QUINELLA
3,12 1,024.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 145
3,12 254.5
10,12 289.5
FORECAST
3,12 3,231
TIERCE
3,12,10 19,653
TRIO
3,10,12 3,092
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 25,602
QUARTET
3,12,10,4 522,708
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 30
A3 —