沙田 · 2022-04-24 · 15:36
第 7場
2022-04-24沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的REVE PARISIEN勝出，贏出N。SOLID IMPACT獲得亞軍；BEAUTY MISSION獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門BEAUTY MISSION跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | REVE PARISIEN 1.08.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 94.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 7.4 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY MISSION SR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 1.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SETANTA B-/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 7 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | KUMASI TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ACE ONE B/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SECRET VISION H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 100.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | NICCONI COUNTY TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 6.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TEXAS MOON P-/B1 L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 1 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | TRUST ME B/H C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 133.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | CLASSIC MOON CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 23.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY MISSION | 24.5% | 4.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | NICCONI COUNTY | 16.6% | 6.03 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | SOLID IMPACT | 13.7% | 7.27 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | TEXAS MOON | 9.3% | 10.71 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | PINS PRINCE | 7.0% | 14.31 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | KUMASI | 5.7% | 17.40 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | SETANTA | 5.6% | 18.01 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 4.6% | 21.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | CLASSIC MOON | 3.7% | 26.84 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | READY TO WIN | 2.7% | 36.87 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | ACE ONE | 2.1% | 48.48 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | REVE PARISIEN | 1.8% | 55.92 | 1 |
| 13 | 10 | SECRET VISION | 1.5% | 68.49 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | TRUST ME | 1.2% | 81.37 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 944
PLACE
6 12
8 23
14 172
QUINELLA
8,14 1,948
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 34.5
6,14 323.5
8,14 617.5
FORECAST
14,8 7,827
TIERCE
14,8,6 26,826
TRIO
6,8,14 1,425
FIRST 4
4,6,8,14 7,417
QUARTET
14,8,6,4 339,540
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 41
6TH DOUBLE
2,8/8 75.5
2,8/14 2,941
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,9>2,8/6,8,14 5,280,164
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,4/1,9>2,8/Any Combination 856