跑馬地 · 2022-04-27 · 21:16
第 6場
2022-04-27跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的XPONENTIAL勝出，贏出1/2。HERCULES獲得亞軍；GANG OF BROTHERS獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門GANG OF BROTHERS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B/TT 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | HERCULES B/XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS B1 Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | LORIZ K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | BELLA BABY P/XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 5 | 71.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | THETA HEDGE H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 10 | 130.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ABOVE ALL H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 8.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 148.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 43.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | FLAMING EAGLE H1/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 35.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 23.8% | 4.21 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | HERCULES | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | ABOVE ALL | 13.8% | 7.24 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 7.2% | 13.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | LORIZ | 6.2% | 16.16 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | EUROMISSILE | 5.5% | 18.34 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 5.4% | 18.67 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | THETA HEDGE | 4.8% | 20.83 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 3.7% | 27.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | BELLA BABY | 3.6% | 27.57 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | FLAMING EAGLE | 3.4% | 29.52 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 2.3% | 43.67 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42.5
PLACE
1 14.5
5 13.5
8 16
QUINELLA
1,8 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 27
1,8 34.5
5,8 29.5
FORECAST
1,8 229
TIERCE
1,8,5 559
TRIO
1,5,8 79
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 140
QUARTET
1,8,5,4 3,977
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 128
2/8 31