跑馬地 · 2022-04-27 · 20:47
第 5場
2022-04-27跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的VALIANT ELEGANCE勝出，贏出1-3/4。AMBITIOUS HEART獲得亞軍；WINNING ICEY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 49.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | HARRIER JET B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN THE TABLE H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SALUTATION B-/P2/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY FOREVER CP-/XB/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 147.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY FOREVER | 20.3% | 4.92 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | PERFECT PEACH | 13.2% | 7.60 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING ICEY | 12.0% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | RUN THE TABLE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 9.4% | 10.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | HARRIER JET | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | WHAT A LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 6.1% | 16.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | SALUTATION | 5.0% | 20.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 1.8% | 56.75 | 2 |
| 12 | 7 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 0.6% | 155.08 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 29
PLACE
2 15
5 21
12 123
QUINELLA
2,12 824.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 45.5
2,12 253.5
5,12 450
FORECAST
2,12 1,277
TIERCE
2,12,5 9,726
TRIO
2,5,12 1,180
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 3,115
QUARTET
2,12,5,9 76,849
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/2,5,12 348,484
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 449
2/12 445