跑馬地 · 2022-04-27 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-04-27跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WORLD FAMOUS勝出，贏出3/4。WIN WIN FIGHTER獲得亞軍；SUNNY DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門JOYFUL GENIUS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS 一路領先 V-/B2 1.39.38 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER 後段發力 B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 4 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUNNY DELIGHT 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | KING DRAGON 後段發力 V A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 CP- Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE XB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GO FOR TEA J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 33.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 26.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 24.9% | 4.01 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | GO FOR TEA | 20.0% | 5.01 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | CHARIZARD | 11.2% | 8.92 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY | 10.8% | 9.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 8.3% | 12.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE | 6.5% | 15.37 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | ON EXCEL STAR | 5.9% | 16.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 4.0% | 25.03 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | KING DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 2.3% | 43.73 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS | 1.9% | 53.54 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | BRIGHT KID | 0.9% | 114.21 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 125.5
PLACE
2 37
4 14
11 34
QUINELLA
2,4 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 89.5
2,11 272
4,11 86
FORECAST
2,4 686
TIERCE
2,4,11 6,982
TRIO
2,4,11 1,087
FIRST 4
2,4,8,11 4,150
QUARTET
2,4,11,8 87,860
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/2 827.5
10/4 42