跑馬地 · 2022-04-27 · 19:45
第 3場
2022-04-27跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WONDER YEARS勝出，贏出1-1/2。NATURAL STORM獲得亞軍；STIMULATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門TELECOM CHEETAH跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT 2.15.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 V C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | STIMULATION 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 10 | 56.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | PASSING FASHION 早段領放 XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP-/H/B1/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER 後段發力 B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER ELEGANCE 後段發力 V/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 12 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 6 | 4.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | GOD OF DRAGON B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 32.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 5.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | BARON ZEE CP1/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 1 | 48.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 26.1% | 3.83 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 21.7% | 4.62 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | NATURAL STORM | 15.4% | 6.50 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS | 7.4% | 13.53 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | WONDER YEARS | 6.2% | 16.07 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | GOD OF DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.76 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 4.9% | 20.57 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 3.8% | 26.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.3% | 30.23 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | PASSING FASHION | 2.5% | 39.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | STIMULATION | 1.9% | 53.22 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | BARON ZEE | 1.2% | 81.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 74
PLACE
1 22
5 144.5
10 24.5
QUINELLA
1,10 262
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 732.5
1,10 89
5,10 682
FORECAST
10,1 561
TIERCE
10,1,5 36,886
TRIO
1,5,10 7,136
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 18,595
QUARTET
10,1,5,12 419,243
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 123.5
5/10 682
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28
A3 —