跑馬地 · 2022-04-27 · 22:54
第 9場
2022-04-27跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的STOLTZ勝出，贏出1/2。CLASSIC UNICORN獲得亞軍；NERVOUS WITNESS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STOLTZ CP 0.56.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 90.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | VOYAGE WARRIOR K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 51.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HANDSOME BO BO TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ATOMIC FORCE TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MCLUCKY SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STOLTZ | 27.4% | 3.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 24.1% | 4.15 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | HONG KONG WIN | 11.8% | 8.47 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | ATOMIC FORCE | 6.2% | 16.07 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | MCLUCKY | 5.9% | 16.81 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 5.6% | 17.75 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 4.4% | 22.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | HANDSOME BO BO | 4.2% | 23.68 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.04 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH | 3.0% | 33.54 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART | 2.9% | 34.21 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 1.2% | 85.45 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 23
PLACE
1 11.5
8 12.5
12 151
QUINELLA
8,12 1,021
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 16
1,12 272
8,12 251
FORECAST
8,12 1,662
TIERCE
8,12,1 3,998
TRIO
1,8,12 363
FIRST 4
1,2,8,12 1,543
QUARTET
8,12,1,2 47,811
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 12.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/1,8,12 23,943
8TH DOUBLE
8/8 66.5
8/12 424.5
SIX UP
2/2/1/1/8/8 18,694
2,4/2,12/1,8/1,8/8,9/8,12 1,116
6 [L Hewitson] —
TREBLE
1/8/8 206
1/8/12 1,671