Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WORLD FAMOUS, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with WIN WIN FIGHTER second and SUNNY DELIGHT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite JOYFUL GENIUS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS Wire to wire V-/B2 1.39.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 4 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly CP- Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE XB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GO FOR TEA J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 33.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 26.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 24.9% | 4.01 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | GO FOR TEA | 20.0% | 5.01 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | CHARIZARD | 11.2% | 8.92 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY | 10.8% | 9.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 8.3% | 12.12 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | FEARLESS FIRE | 6.5% | 15.37 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | ON EXCEL STAR | 5.9% | 16.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 4.0% | 25.03 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | KING DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 2.3% | 43.73 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | WORLD FAMOUS | 1.9% | 53.54 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | BRIGHT KID | 0.9% | 114.21 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 125.5
PLACE
2 37
4 14
11 34
QUINELLA
2,4 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 89.5
2,11 272
4,11 86
FORECAST
2,4 686
TIERCE
2,4,11 6,982
TRIO
2,4,11 1,087
FIRST 4
2,4,8,11 4,150
QUARTET
2,4,11,8 87,860
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/2 827.5
10/4 42