Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly B 1.39.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man 11 2.9 1/2
2 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 3 8.4 1/2
3 0 BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 7.4 3/4
4 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho 5 15.0 2
5 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 1 7.0 2
6 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P Z Purton · J Size 9 7.8 2-1/2
7 0 KING'S CAPITAL A Hamelin · D A Hayes 4 20.0 2-3/4
8 0 KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum 8 45.0 3-3/4
9 0 COPARTNER FIONN C Y Ho · W Y So 7 16.0 4
10 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT H Bentley · C Fownes 10 19.0 5-1/4
11 0 PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 9.7 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA HUNTER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with GAMEPLAYER TIMES second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA HUNTER—2. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+0.5L3. BEAUTY GLORY+0.75L4. HAPPY DAILY+2L5. AMAZING ONE PLUS+2L6. CROSSFORD+2.5L7. KING'S CAPITAL+2.75L8. KOWLOON GREAT+3.75L9. COPARTNER FIONN+4L10. INVINCIBLE MISSILE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick VIVA HUNTER (20.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 VIVA HUNTER 20.1% 4.97 1
2 0 CROSSFORD 18.3% 5.48 6
3 0 BEAUTY GLORY 12.9% 7.73 3
4 0 PRIME MINISTER 9.9% 10.14 11
5 0 KING'S CAPITAL 7.1% 14.07 7
6 0 COPARTNER FIONN 7.0% 14.30 9
7 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 6.7% 14.97 10
8 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS 6.3% 15.81 5
9 0 HAPPY DAILY 4.1% 24.56 4
10 0 KOWLOON GREAT 3.9% 25.47 8
11 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 3.7% 26.88 2
VIVA HUNTER — wonCROSSFORDBEAUTY GLORYPRIME MINISTERKING'S CAPITALCOPARTNER FIONNINVINCIBLE MISSILEAMAZING ONE PLUSHAPPY DAILYKOWLOON GREATGAMEPLAYER TIMES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 29

PLACE

6 23.5

8 15.5

9 26.5

QUINELLA

8,9 105

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 50.5

6,9 119

8,9 45.5

FORECAST

8,9 196

TIERCE

8,9,6 1,003

TRIO

6,8,9 339

FIRST 4

6,8,9,11 827

QUARTET

8,9,6,11 10,601

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 20.5

7TH DOUBLE

1/8 69

1/9 37.5