Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA HUNTER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with GAMEPLAYER TIMES second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly B 1.39.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 11 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS P/XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.7 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | CROSSFORD | 18.3% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 9.9% | 10.14 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL | 7.1% | 14.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | COPARTNER FIONN | 7.0% | 14.30 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.7% | 14.97 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 6.3% | 15.81 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.1% | 24.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | KOWLOON GREAT | 3.9% | 25.47 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 3.7% | 26.88 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 29
PLACE
6 23.5
8 15.5
9 26.5
QUINELLA
8,9 105
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 50.5
6,9 119
8,9 45.5
FORECAST
8,9 196
TIERCE
8,9,6 1,003
TRIO
6,8,9 339
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 827
QUARTET
8,9,6,11 10,601
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/8 69
1/9 37.5