Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CASA KINGDOM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with DAY DAY RICH second and VECTOR third. The 5.6 favourite DAY DAY RICH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CASA KINGDOM CP1 1.09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | VECTOR B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | DASSIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | RED BRICK GLORY XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 4 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | MOON PEAKS B/H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MUDITA V/XB/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 6.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 12 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 7.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 19.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SEA ELITE K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DASSIT | 19.1% | 5.22 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 15.6% | 6.39 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | ZACIAN | 9.3% | 10.74 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | CASA KINGDOM | 8.4% | 11.96 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | MASTER ALBERT | 7.9% | 12.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | ALLOY KING | 7.5% | 13.36 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | DAY DAY RICH | 7.4% | 13.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | MUDITA | 7.2% | 13.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | RED BRICK GLORY | 6.0% | 16.56 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | VECTOR | 5.6% | 17.94 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | MOON PEAKS | 3.6% | 27.50 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | FORTUNE HERO | 2.2% | 44.59 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 79.5
PLACE
5 29.5
7 25
12 66.5
QUINELLA
5,7 294.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 108.5
5,12 385.5
7,12 274.5
FORECAST
5,7 959
TIERCE
5,7,12 17,421
TRIO
5,7,12 2,508
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 15,837
QUARTET
5,7,12,1 342,851
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 172
1/7 15
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —