Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 20:47
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 6 | 49.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING ICEY TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HARRIER JET B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SALUTATION B-/P2/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY FOREVER CP-/XB/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 11 | 147.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | — | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with AMBITIOUS HEART second and WINNING ICEY third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY FOREVER | 20.3% | 4.92 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT PEACH | 13.2% | 7.60 | — |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING ICEY | 12.0% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 9.4% | 10.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | HARRIER JET | 6.7% | 14.97 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WHAT A LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 6.1% | 16.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SALUTATION | 5.0% | 20.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 1.8% | 56.75 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 0.6% | 155.08 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 29
PLACE
2 15
5 21
12 123
QUINELLA
2,12 824.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 45.5
2,12 253.5
5,12 450
FORECAST
2,12 1,277
TIERCE
2,12,5 9,726
TRIO
2,5,12 1,180
FIRST 4
2,5,9,12 3,115
QUARTET
2,12,5,9 76,849
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/2,5,12 348,484
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 449
2/12 445