Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REWARDING TOGETHER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SKY FOREVER second and LYRICAL MOTION third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SKY FOREVER B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 10 | LYRICAL MOTION TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | FORTE XB/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 9 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WIND N GRASS TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR BRITE CP/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE B/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | JOLLY GOOD HEART L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 3 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 6 | 48.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STAR BRITE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | CALIFORNIA REDWOOD | 20.2% | 4.96 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 18.8% | 5.31 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 8.0% | 12.53 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | LYRICAL MOTION | 7.8% | 12.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SKY FOREVER | 6.9% | 14.39 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.3% | 23.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 3.2% | 31.51 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | WIND N GRASS | 2.5% | 39.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.4% | 40.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | FORTE | 2.2% | 45.55 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22
PLACE
1 12
8 20
10 19
QUINELLA
1,8 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 33
1,10 29
8,10 67.5
FORECAST
1,8 99
TIERCE
1,8,10 396
TRIO
1,8,10 138
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 806
QUARTET
1,8,10,9 7,246
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/1,8,10 1,124
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/1 107
1/8 65.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,12/1,5,8/1,8,10 291,546
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,12/1,5,8/Any Combination 2,632