Happy Valley · 2022-04-27 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-27 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WHIZZ KID, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SPECIAL M second and JOYFUL WIN third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WHIZZ KID B/TT 0.56.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 1.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SPECIAL M B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE CP-/XB-/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | JUMBO GOAL M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WHIZZ KID | 56.0% | 1.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SPECIAL M | 13.8% | 7.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 9.2% | 10.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 6.9% | 14.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.4% | 15.69 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE | 5.5% | 18.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | JUMBO GOAL | 2.3% | 43.25 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 14
PLACE
1 10.1
3 13.5
4 17.5
QUINELLA
1,3 29.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 15
1,4 18
3,4 32.5
FORECAST
1,3 31
TIERCE
1,3,4 77
TRIO
1,3,4 39
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 99
QUARTET
1,3,4,7 466
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —