沙田 · 2022-05-04 · 19:16
第 2場
2022-05-04沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由L Currie策騎、J Size訓練的TOUCH FAITH勝出，贏出NOSE。GENERAL TRUMP獲得亞軍；TELECOM MISSILE獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門REGENCY GEM跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOUCH FAITH P2 1.09.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 26.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 5.6 | HD |
| 4 | 3 | BOYS PARTY B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ACA POWER M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES PC M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 9 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | TRONIC MIGHTY CP1/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | REGENCY GEM B-/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 5 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | EVER JOY B/XB V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 8.1 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN E-/H2/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 96.0 | 23-1/4 |
| — | 0 | LUMEN BABA L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REGENCY GEM | 23.0% | 4.35 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 15.9% | 6.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE | 14.5% | 6.88 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLDEN MISSION | 11.5% | 8.67 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | TOUCH FAITH | 8.2% | 12.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | GENERAL TRUMP | 6.4% | 15.73 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | BOYS PARTY | 5.0% | 20.02 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | EVER JOY | 4.5% | 22.25 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 3.7% | 27.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.3% | 30.74 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ACA POWER | 3.1% | 32.76 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN | 1.0% | 104.65 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 268
PLACE
1 80
5 21
8 37.5
QUINELLA
1,8 1,243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 251
1,8 404
5,8 84
FORECAST
1,8 2,596
TIERCE
1,8,5 20,970
TRIO
1,5,8 1,999
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 3,637
QUARTET
1,8,5,3 114,901
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 1,022
4/8 88
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —