沙田 · 2022-05-04 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-05-04沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H Bentley策騎、T P Yung訓練的KA YING MASTER勝出，贏出2。LIGHTNING BOLT獲得亞軍；LIKE THAT獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門LIGHTNING BOLT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING MASTER TT 1.07.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LIKE THAT V J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN XB1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING DRAGON M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 5.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | MERCURIAL H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 8 | 53.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | BAND OF BROTHERS V K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 56.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 11 | 88.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 22.0% | 4.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | LIKE THAT | 20.9% | 4.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | CAPTAIN WIN | 18.2% | 5.49 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING DRAGON | 12.5% | 8.02 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN | 5.9% | 17.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.7% | 21.38 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | MERCURIAL | 4.3% | 23.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 3.2% | 31.69 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SUNNY BOY | 2.7% | 36.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | KA YING MASTER | 2.4% | 41.80 | 1 |
| 11 | 12 | RESOLUTE | 2.1% | 48.62 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.3% | 78.83 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 93
PLACE
1 31
7 13.5
9 23
QUINELLA
1,7 134
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 58
1,9 98.5
7,9 36
FORECAST
1,7 439
TIERCE
1,7,9 1,711
TRIO
1,7,9 227
FIRST 4
1,5,7,9 311
QUARTET
1,7,9,5 9,119
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 32
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 688
3/7 30