沙田 · 2022-05-04 · 19:46
第 3場
2022-05-04沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K H Chan策騎、K H Ting訓練的LUCKY VICTOR勝出，贏出1-1/4。PRIME STAR獲得亞軍；SMILING FACE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。5.5倍大熱門PRIME STAR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LUCKY VICTOR 一路領先 B/TT 1.48.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | PRIME STAR 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 1 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SMILING FACE 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CROWN AVENUE 後段發力 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 5 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SKY GEM 後段發力 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT 後段發力 B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY P C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MOONLUCK R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ORIENTAL AMIGO V C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HEROIC CHAMPION B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING MIGHTY B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 6.4 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SPEED FORCE B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 7 | 7.7 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | ILLUSTRIOUS PC/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 2 | 51.0 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LOYAL AMBITION | 24.1% | 4.15 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING MIGHTY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | SPEED FORCE | 8.2% | 12.20 | 13 |
| 4 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT | 8.1% | 12.35 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | CROWN AVENUE | 7.9% | 12.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | SMILING FACE | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | PRIME STAR | 5.7% | 17.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.9% | 20.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY VICTOR | 4.7% | 21.29 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | MOONLUCK | 4.3% | 23.33 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | SKY GEM | 2.7% | 36.69 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 2.7% | 37.04 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 1.9% | 51.57 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 1.7% | 58.19 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 112
PLACE
10 41.5
12 38.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
10,14 416
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 369.5
10,14 160.5
12,14 163
FORECAST
10,14 822
TIERCE
10,14,12 9,534
TRIO
10,12,14 2,050
FIRST 4
2,10,12,14 2,827
QUARTET
10,14,12,2 69,044
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/10 2,489
1/14 264
3 PICK 1
A3 18.5
A1 —
A2 —