跑馬地 · 2022-05-25 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-05-25跑馬地第5場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、T P Yung訓練的REGENCY POET勝出，贏出HD。ARES獲得亞軍；FARM BUMPER獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門CORDYCEPS ONE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | REGENCY POET TT 1.10.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 1 | 3.8 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | ARES B-/V1 B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 5 | 8.3 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | FARM BUMPER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY PROFIT TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 4 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | VIVA CHEF P M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DASSIT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | INESTIMABLE TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 12 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | JADE THEATRE B/TT1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 11 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DASSIT | 29.1% | 3.43 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | REGENCY POET | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 10.4% | 9.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE | 7.2% | 13.97 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 7.0% | 14.38 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE HERO | 6.9% | 14.60 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | FARM BUMPER | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | ARES | 5.6% | 17.78 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | INESTIMABLE | 4.1% | 24.27 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | VIVA CHEF | 3.5% | 28.39 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | JADE THEATRE | 2.7% | 36.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | HAPPY PROFIT | 2.1% | 47.90 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 38.5
PLACE
2 27.5
10 40.5
11 16
QUINELLA
2,11 167
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 167.5
2,11 65
10,11 81.5
FORECAST
11,2 279
TIERCE
11,2,10 2,415
TRIO
2,10,11 706
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 428
QUARTET
11,2,10,4 10,450
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,10/2,10,11 92,055
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 125
4/11 472.5