跑馬地 · 2022-05-25 · 22:17
第 8場
2022-05-25跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Maia策騎、A T Millard訓練的ABOVE ALL勝出，贏出HD。SIX BEST FRIENDS獲得亞軍；EVER FORCE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ABOVE ALL H/XB 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 4.3 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | SIX BEST FRIENDS TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 8 | 67.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | EVER FORCE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SMILING CITY V M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TUCHEL L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 11 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | JAZZ STEED V2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 6.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | REGENCY STAR CP Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ISLAND SHINE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B-/V2 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 8.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HO HO JUNIOR H C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | TO INFINITY L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 92.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | GOOD SHOT H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 21.2% | 4.71 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | ABOVE ALL | 18.7% | 5.36 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | EVER FORCE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | ISLAND SHINE | 10.9% | 9.20 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | REGENCY STAR | 8.4% | 11.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | SMILING CITY | 7.7% | 13.02 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 7.6% | 13.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | TUCHEL | 6.5% | 15.31 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD SHOT | 3.0% | 33.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 1.7% | 59.73 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | HO HO JUNIOR | 1.2% | 80.91 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 0.7% | 137.92 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 43.5
PLACE
4 19.5
5 22
10 152.5
QUINELLA
4,10 2,095.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 58.5
4,10 557
5,10 655
FORECAST
4,10 2,450
TIERCE
4,10,5 22,984
TRIO
4,5,10 3,811
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 2,959
QUARTET
4,10,5,2 78,194
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 26
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4,6/4 94
4,6/10 277