跑馬地 · 2022-05-25 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-05-25跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的EQUALETTA BLITZ勝出，贏出2。ADIOS獲得亞軍；HONG KONG BET獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門HARMONY N BLESSED跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H 0.56.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ADIOS B1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | HONG KONG BET B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SPECIAL M B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR CP/H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN P- J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | RESOLUTE B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 51.0 | 5 |
| — | 11 | JUMBO GOAL C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR | 27.9% | 3.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | SPECIAL M | 13.1% | 7.63 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN | 12.7% | 7.87 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 10.2% | 9.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 7.4% | 13.58 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | ADIOS | 6.6% | 15.17 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | HONG KONG BET | 4.5% | 22.05 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | RESOLUTE | 4.5% | 22.42 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 2.1% | 47.38 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 77.5
PLACE
4 57
7 31
9 24.5
QUINELLA
7,9 383
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 299
4,9 251.5
7,9 115.5
FORECAST
9,7 789
TIERCE
9,7,4 11,840
TRIO
4,7,9 2,780
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 2,225
4,5,7,9 1,447
QUARTET
9,7,4,3 58,135
9,7,4,5 41,016
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/4,7,9 810,269
8TH DOUBLE
4/7 74.5
4/9 597
SIX UP
2,4/2,11/1,8/1,4,6/4,10/7,9 11,674
4/11/8/4,6/4/9 633,245
4 [L Hewitson] —
TREBLE
4,6/4/7 164
4,6/4/9 1,852