跑馬地 · 2022-06-22 · 20:15
第 4場
2022-06-22跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、T P Yung訓練的AMBITIOUS HEART勝出，贏出1/2。HARMONY N HOME獲得亞軍；TURIN WARRIOR獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門PLEASANT ENDEAVOR跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT 1.10.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 9 | 37.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY SHARING TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | HERCULES B/XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 35.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SHADOW RUNNER TT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | EVER FORCE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH P- C L Chau · J Size | C L Chau | J Size | 6 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | DREAM BOSS TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 22-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 17.9% | 5.59 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY SHARING | 14.8% | 6.73 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 14.7% | 6.81 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | HERCULES | 8.9% | 11.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | PERFECT PEACH | 8.2% | 12.23 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | SHADOW RUNNER | 8.0% | 12.44 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | EVER FORCE | 7.4% | 13.43 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH | 6.0% | 16.62 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 3.6% | 27.48 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | DREAM BOSS | 3.6% | 27.61 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.83 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.3% | 30.56 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 214.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 106.5
12 51.5
QUINELLA
3,12 656
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 426.5
3,12 170
4,12 891.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,094
TIERCE
12,3,4 36,051
TRIO
3,4,12 7,264
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 7,525
QUARTET
12,3,4,1 239,470
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/3 116
10/12 1,919