跑馬地 · 2022-06-22 · 21:17
第 6場
2022-06-22跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的WINNING ICEY勝出，贏出1/2。MEGA BONUS獲得亞軍；EXUBERANT獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門MEGA BONUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING ICEY TT 1.10.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | MEGA BONUS XB/CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | EXUBERANT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | WINS ALL TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SPICY GRILL B/TT K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | VAMOS H B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 41.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | SIX BEST FRIENDS TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VAMOS | 15.0% | 6.66 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | WINS ALL | 11.3% | 8.87 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | EXUBERANT | 10.5% | 9.55 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | SPICY GRILL | 10.2% | 9.78 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 8.9% | 11.24 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 8.7% | 11.48 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNING ICEY | 8.6% | 11.59 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | ABOVE ALL | 8.3% | 12.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 7.4% | 13.52 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 4.7% | 21.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 3.6% | 27.49 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 2.7% | 37.05 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 163
PLACE
1 22.5
5 15.5
7 44
QUINELLA
5,7 289
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 61
1,7 177.5
5,7 108
FORECAST
7,5 1,100
TIERCE
7,5,1 5,065
TRIO
1,5,7 586
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 1,124
QUARTET
7,5,1,11 34,583
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/5 288.5
2/7 6,803