跑馬地 · 2022-06-22 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-06-22跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C W Chang訓練的FAMILY FOLKS勝出，贏出3/4。LUCKY SWEYNESSE獲得亞軍；VOYAGE WARRIOR獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門LUCKY SWEYNESSE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FAMILY FOLKS B 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | VOYAGE WARRIOR C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON TT R Maia · F C Lor | R Maia | F C Lor | 1 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MCLUCKY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MASTER MONTARO CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 9.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 6 | 75.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 17.5% | 5.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 16.1% | 6.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | EASON | 14.1% | 7.10 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | SUNNY BOY | 9.4% | 10.64 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | FAMILY FOLKS | 9.2% | 10.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | KEEP YOU WARM | 8.3% | 12.03 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 6.5% | 15.50 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 6.2% | 16.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | MASTER MONTARO | 4.4% | 22.61 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.0% | 25.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO | 2.6% | 38.10 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | MCLUCKY | 1.7% | 57.62 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 101
PLACE
2 26
5 12.5
12 31.5
QUINELLA
5,12 133
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 49.5
2,12 123.5
5,12 50
FORECAST
12,5 414
TIERCE
12,5,2 2,852
TRIO
2,5,12 388
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 1,850
QUARTET
12,5,2,3 35,526
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 30
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/2,5,12 61,097
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 99.5
4/12 2,129.5
SIX UP
3,12/2,5/5,7/6,10/1,4/5,12 9,308
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/4/5 494
6/4/12 10,670