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Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FAMILY FOLKS B 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang 3 10.0 3/4
3 0 VOYAGE WARRIOR C Y Ho · P F Yiu 5 9.6 1
4 0 HANDSOME BO BO TT H Bentley · C S Shum 4 22.0 1-1/2
5 0 REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 7.7 2-1/4
6 0 EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB B Shinn · C Fownes 8 22.0 2-1/4
7 0 EASON TT R Maia · F C Lor 1 5.0 2-1/4
8 0 MCLUCKY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte 12 49.0 4-1/4
9 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT B A Badel · J Size 10 16.0 4-1/4
10 0 MASTER MONTARO CP K C Leung · D A Hayes 11 45.0 4-1/2
11 0 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB Z Purton · K W Lui 9 9.1 5-1/4
12 0 SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So 6 75.0 7-1/2
— 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE M F Poon · K L Man — 2.7 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FAMILY FOLKS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with VOYAGE WARRIOR second and HANDSOME BO BO third. The 2.7 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAMILY FOLKS—3. VOYAGE WARRIOR+1L4. HANDSOME BO BO+1.5L5. REWARDING TOGETHER+2.25L6. EXPLOSIVE WITNESS+2.25L7. EASON+2.25L8. MCLUCKY+4.25L9. SEIZING THE MOMENT+4.25L10. MASTER MONTARO+4.5L11. KEEP YOU WARM+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick REWARDING TOGETHER (17.5%) finished 5th — the winner FAMILY FOLKS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 REWARDING TOGETHER 17.5% 5.70 5
2 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 16.1% 6.22 —
3 0 EASON 14.1% 7.10 7
4 0 SUNNY BOY 9.4% 10.64 12
5 0 FAMILY FOLKS 9.2% 10.92 1
6 0 KEEP YOU WARM 8.3% 12.03 11
7 0 VOYAGE WARRIOR 6.5% 15.50 3
8 0 SEIZING THE MOMENT 6.2% 16.05 9
9 0 MASTER MONTARO 4.4% 22.61 10
10 0 EXPLOSIVE WITNESS 4.0% 25.17 6
11 0 HANDSOME BO BO 2.6% 38.10 4
12 0 MCLUCKY 1.7% 57.62 8
REWARDING TOGETHERLUCKY SWEYNESSEEASONSUNNY BOYFAMILY FOLKS — wonKEEP YOU WARMVOYAGE WARRIORSEIZING THE MOMENTMASTER MONTAROEXPLOSIVE WITNESSHANDSOME BO BOMCLUCKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 101

PLACE

2 26

5 12.5

12 31.5

QUINELLA

5,12 133

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 49.5

2,12 123.5

5,12 50

FORECAST

12,5 414

TIERCE

12,5,2 2,852

TRIO

2,5,12 388

FIRST 4

2,3,5,12 1,850

QUARTET

12,5,2,3 35,526

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 30

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,9/2,5,12 61,097

8TH DOUBLE

4/5 99.5

4/12 2,129.5

SIX UP

3,12/2,5/5,7/6,10/1,4/5,12 9,308

1 [Z Purton] —

TREBLE

6/4/5 494

6/4/12 10,670