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Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 20:46

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BULLETPROOF, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with BLISSFUL STAR second and EVER LAUGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite BLISSFUL STAR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.41.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B-/V1 1.41.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 12 34.0 N
2 5 BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting 8 2.7 N
3 4 EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 5 36.0 3/4
4 10 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui 1 8.7 1-3/4
5 11 SUPER HORNET Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 3 6.1 2-1/4
6 12 AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly P/XB H Bentley · C Fownes 9 6.7 2-3/4
7 9 TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C H Yip 4 18.0 3-3/4
8 3 RED BRICK FIGHTER B C L Chau · D J Hall 10 12.0 4-1/4
9 8 BARON ZEE B/TT R Maia · R Gibson 2 25.0 5-3/4
10 1 FEARLESS FIRE XB B Shinn · D A Hayes 11 13.0 6
11 6 TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT H T Mo · P O'Sullivan 7 39.0 9-1/4
12 7 REGENCY MASTER B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 6 10.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULLETPROOF2. BLISSFUL STAR+0.05L3. EVER LAUGH+0.75L4. NOBLE STEED+1.75L5. SUPER HORNET+2.25L6. AMAZING NEWS+2.75L7. TELECOM CHEETAH+3.75L8. RED BRICK FIGHTER+4.25L9. BARON ZEE+5.75L10. FEARLESS FIRE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUPER HORNET (16.9%) finished 5th — the winner BULLETPROOF was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 SUPER HORNET 16.9% 5.91 5
2 5 BLISSFUL STAR 16.4% 6.11 2
3 9 TELECOM CHEETAH 12.3% 8.13 7
4 12 AMAZING NEWS 11.6% 8.62 6
5 10 NOBLE STEED 11.1% 9.00 4
6 7 REGENCY MASTER 7.5% 13.25 12
7 3 RED BRICK FIGHTER 6.8% 14.79 8
8 1 FEARLESS FIRE 5.3% 19.02 10
9 2 BULLETPROOF 5.1% 19.67 1
10 4 EVER LAUGH 2.6% 38.08 3
11 8 BARON ZEE 2.4% 41.66 9
12 6 TURQUOISE HOPE 2.0% 49.46 11
SUPER HORNETBLISSFUL STARTELECOM CHEETAHAMAZING NEWSNOBLE STEEDREGENCY MASTERRED BRICK FIGHTERFEARLESS FIREBULLETPROOF — wonEVER LAUGHBARON ZEETURQUOISE HOPE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 349.5

PLACE

2 84

4 77

5 14.5

QUINELLA

2,5 454.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 902.5

2,5 166.5

4,5 156.5

FORECAST

2,5 1,312

TIERCE

2,5,4 26,715

TRIO

2,4,5 3,770

FIRST 4

2,4,5,10 5,235

QUARTET

2,5,4,10 223,578

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,12/2,4,5 1,383,907

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 29

A2

4TH DOUBLE

12/2 4,346.5

12/5 111.5