Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NICCONI COUNTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with YO BEAUTY second and SUPER MISSION third. The 3.8 favourite FLYING SEASON finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY TT 1.10.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 10 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER MISSION H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ELON E/P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING SEASON B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 3.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | JOLLY GOOD HEART B2 H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 20.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SEASON | 19.3% | 5.18 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 16.9% | 5.92 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER MISSION | 15.4% | 6.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 8.7% | 11.52 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | LIKE THAT | 8.7% | 11.53 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY | 7.9% | 12.60 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | ELON | 6.1% | 16.48 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | YO BEAUTY | 5.9% | 16.84 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 3.4% | 29.19 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 3.2% | 31.06 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 2.9% | 34.90 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 1.6% | 62.43 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 43.5
PLACE
6 15
10 33.5
12 17
QUINELLA
6,10 294
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 94.5
6,12 36
10,12 89
FORECAST
6,10 525
TIERCE
6,10,12 2,336
TRIO
6,10,12 371
FIRST 4
1,6,10,12 1,144
QUARTET
6,10,12,1 21,342
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/6,10,12 28,543
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
6TH DOUBLE
7/6 704
7/10 481.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/1,5,7/Any Combination 66,726