Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 22:17
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NOTHING NEW, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with PACKING AWARD second and LOYAL BABY third. The winner led throughout. The 4.1 favourite WORLD FAMOUS finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NOTHING NEW Wire to wire H/P/XB 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | THE HULK Closed strongly R Maia · C Fownes | R Maia | C Fownes | 9 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly H/P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 4 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | WORLD FAMOUS B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 10 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HELENE ALLIBOR B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT TT H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DR WINNING TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LOYAL BABY | 20.3% | 4.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | WORLD FAMOUS | 13.8% | 7.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | DR WINNING | 11.7% | 8.52 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | CROSSFORD | 10.4% | 9.65 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 9.0% | 11.09 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING AWARD | 8.8% | 11.31 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | NOTHING NEW | 8.4% | 11.95 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 7.5% | 13.28 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT | 3.1% | 32.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | THE HULK | 2.9% | 34.62 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 2.4% | 40.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 1.6% | 62.37 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 162.5
PLACE
1 23.5
4 49.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
1,4 748
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 249.5
1,9 56
4,9 151.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,513
TIERCE
4,1,9 7,474
TRIO
1,4,9 1,068
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 2,176
QUARTET
4,1,9,2 59,727
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 16.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/1 42
6/4 829.5