Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 19:18
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CIGAR BUDDIES, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/4, with ARES second and REGENCY POET third. The 3.9 favourite ARES finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CIGAR BUDDIES B 1.10.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ARES V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | REGENCY POET TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | VECTOR B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | THE JOLLY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SICOMORO TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES P-/PC2 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 11 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | KING'S TROOPER TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | DASSIT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | ALL YOU KNOW B-/H-/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 6 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ACA POWER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FARM BUMPER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ARES | 20.6% | 4.84 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 10.1% | 9.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | VECTOR | 9.3% | 10.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | DASSIT | 8.5% | 11.76 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | SICOMORO | 7.1% | 14.06 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | FARM BUMPER | 7.0% | 14.28 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | ACA POWER | 5.7% | 17.62 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | THE JOLLY | 5.3% | 18.83 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | KING'S TROOPER | 3.4% | 29.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | ALL YOU KNOW | 3.4% | 29.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES | 2.6% | 37.84 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 68
PLACE
1 18.5
7 20
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,7 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 46
1,9 50
7,9 82.5
FORECAST
7,1 248
TIERCE
7,1,9 1,219
TRIO
1,7,9 255
FIRST 4
1,7,9,11 200
QUARTET
7,1,9,11 4,834
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 24.5
7/7 266.5
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A3 —
A1 —