Happy Valley · 2022-06-22 · 19:47
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-22 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SERGEANT PEPPER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/4, with SEE U AGAIN second and NEXTMODEL third. The 2.5 favourite SEE U AGAIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER B- 0.57.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | NEXTMODEL TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | YELLOWFIN K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SHINING FORTUNE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE B-/XB-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 53.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | VALHALLA XB1/TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | PRIME MORTAR C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BLUSTITCH TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 149.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN H1/XB1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | DA OPTIMIST H T Mo · P O'Sullivan | H T Mo | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN | 20.8% | 4.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 15.6% | 6.41 | 12 |
| 3 | 8 | YELLOWFIN | 10.4% | 9.65 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | SHINING FORTUNE | 9.5% | 10.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | VALHALLA | 8.5% | 11.81 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | PRIME MORTAR | 7.2% | 13.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 6.8% | 14.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.7% | 15.02 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | NEXTMODEL | 5.5% | 18.22 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 5.5% | 18.29 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 2.0% | 51.16 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | BLUSTITCH | 1.7% | 58.76 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 103.5
PLACE
5 11.5
10 28.5
12 34.5
QUINELLA
5,10 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 50
5,12 68
10,12 131
FORECAST
10,5 344
TIERCE
10,5,12 3,004
TRIO
5,10,12 561
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 555
QUARTET
10,5,12,8 18,305
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/5 28
7/10 750
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —