跑馬地 · 2022-06-22 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-06-22跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的NICCONI COUNTY勝出，贏出N。YO BEAUTY獲得亞軍；SUPER MISSION獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門FLYING SEASON跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY TT 1.10.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 10 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER MISSION H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ELON E/P K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING SEASON B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 3.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | JOLLY GOOD HEART B2 H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 20.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SEASON | 19.3% | 5.18 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 16.9% | 5.92 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER MISSION | 15.4% | 6.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 8.7% | 11.52 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | LIKE THAT | 8.7% | 11.53 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | NICCONI COUNTY | 7.9% | 12.60 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | ELON | 6.1% | 16.48 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | YO BEAUTY | 5.9% | 16.84 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 3.4% | 29.19 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 3.2% | 31.06 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 2.9% | 34.90 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 1.6% | 62.43 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 43.5
PLACE
6 15
10 33.5
12 17
QUINELLA
6,10 294
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 94.5
6,12 36
10,12 89
FORECAST
6,10 525
TIERCE
6,10,12 2,336
TRIO
6,10,12 371
FIRST 4
1,6,10,12 1,144
QUARTET
6,10,12,1 21,342
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/6,10,12 28,543
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21
6TH DOUBLE
7/6 704
7/10 481.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,5/1,5,7/Any Combination 66,726