沙田 · 2022-07-10 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-07-10沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由L Hewitson策騎、P F Yiu訓練的JOLLY RULER勝出，贏出HD。SUPER WIN DRAGON獲得亞軍；SPONTANEOUS獲得季軍。6.7倍大熱門CALL ME TEDDY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOLLY RULER 1.08.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.7 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 6.9 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | CALL ME TEDDY TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ELON E/P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY FUN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 14.9% | 6.71 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 11.7% | 8.52 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 11.6% | 8.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM | 11.2% | 8.90 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | CALL ME TEDDY | 8.8% | 11.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ELON | 8.7% | 11.46 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 5.6% | 17.94 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY FUN | 5.0% | 20.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 4.0% | 24.93 | 1 |
| 12 | 5 | MAN STAR | 2.0% | 49.80 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 87
PLACE
10 34.5
11 27
12 33
QUINELLA
10,11 471
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 165.5
10,12 192
11,12 112.5
FORECAST
10,11 987
TIERCE
10,11,12 6,145
TRIO
10,11,12 1,546
FIRST 4
5,10,11,12 8,789
QUARTET
10,11,12,5 167,062
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/10 185.5
9/11 104.5