沙田 · 2022-07-10 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-07-10沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、L Ho訓練的WOODFIRE BRO勝出，贏出3/4。PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；LET'S DO IT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門LET'S DO IT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO 後段發力 H/TT 1.35.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 7 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PALACE PAL 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER 後段發力 B-/TT- H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | OSCAR GLORY CP-/V1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 7.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BIG BROOK 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | AURORA HERO B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CORDYCEPS TWO 早段領放 XB R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 90.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | EMBARKED B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 177.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | BEAUTY NOVA TT1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 13 | 52.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LET'S DO IT | 28.6% | 3.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | OSCAR GLORY | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 14.7% | 6.82 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 6.5% | 15.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | BIG BROOK | 5.9% | 16.87 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | PALACE PAL | 5.4% | 18.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO | 4.0% | 24.76 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | AURORA HERO | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.9% | 25.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.6% | 27.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON | 2.9% | 34.53 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | EMBARKED | 2.1% | 48.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | BEAUTY NOVA | 1.9% | 51.57 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS | 0.8% | 121.79 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 127
PLACE
1 15
8 39
11 18
QUINELLA
8,11 343.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 86.5
1,11 32
8,11 119
FORECAST
8,11 796
TIERCE
8,11,1 3,128
TRIO
1,8,11 391
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 1,027
QUARTET
8,11,1,6 28,995
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
5/8 912
5/11 107
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/5,8,10/1,8,11 40,042,600
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/5,8,10/Any Combination 189,535