沙田 · 2022-07-10 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-07-10沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由L Currie策騎、C W Chang訓練的MOERAKI勝出，贏出HD。QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得亞軍；STAND UP獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MOERAKI B/TT 1.09.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 2 | 3.3 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 3 | 7.4 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | STAND UP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 8.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE CP/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | THIS IS GUTS B-/H1/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 129.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WISDOM PATCH | 14.9% | 6.71 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 14.3% | 7.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | MOERAKI | 13.3% | 7.54 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.5% | 8.66 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | TELECOM MISSILE | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE | 8.3% | 12.09 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 6.5% | 15.47 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY | 6.1% | 16.39 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 3.6% | 27.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | STAND UP | 3.2% | 31.01 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.0% | 50.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 33
PLACE
1 22
5 126
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,11 156.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 674.5
1,11 56
5,11 309
FORECAST
11,1 236
TIERCE
11,1,5 8,517
TRIO
1,5,11 2,124
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 5,045
QUARTET
11,1,5,12 78,226
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 40
1/11 182.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —