Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MOERAKI, ridden by L Currie and trained by C W Chang, won by HD, with QUADRUPLE DOUBLE second and STAND UP third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MOERAKI B/TT 1.09.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 2 | 3.3 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 3 | 7.4 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | STAND UP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 8.6 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE CP/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 13.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | THIS IS GUTS B-/H1/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 129.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WISDOM PATCH | 14.9% | 6.71 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 14.3% | 7.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | MOERAKI | 13.3% | 7.54 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO | 11.5% | 8.66 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | TELECOM MISSILE | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE | 8.3% | 12.09 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 6.5% | 15.31 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 6.5% | 15.47 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY | 6.1% | 16.39 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 3.6% | 27.53 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | STAND UP | 3.2% | 31.01 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.0% | 50.59 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 33
PLACE
1 22
5 126
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,11 156.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 674.5
1,11 56
5,11 309
FORECAST
11,1 236
TIERCE
11,1,5 8,517
TRIO
1,5,11 2,124
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 5,045
QUARTET
11,1,5,12 78,226
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 40
1/11 182.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —