Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. UNIVERSAL HORIZON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with GLENEALY GENERALS second and SHINING FORTUNE third. The 4.1 favourite SMART FOLKS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON 1.09.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 9.7 | N |
| 2 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS XB2 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SHINING FORTUNE L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | PRIME MORTAR TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SMART FOLKS B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | VALHALLA XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE CP-/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | EASY SNIP CP-/TT- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR H- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 121.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 11.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 22.3% | 4.49 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | SWEET DIAMOND | 21.7% | 4.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | VALHALLA | 16.8% | 5.97 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 10.1% | 9.91 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 7.5% | 13.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 6.2% | 16.16 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SHINING FORTUNE | 5.6% | 17.81 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 4.4% | 22.75 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | EASY SNIP | 1.9% | 53.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | PRIME MORTAR | 1.5% | 65.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE | 1.1% | 88.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR | 1.0% | 101.36 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 97.5
PLACE
5 30.5
8 45.5
10 46
QUINELLA
5,8 928
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 269
5,10 309
8,10 410
FORECAST
5,8 1,987
TIERCE
5,8,10 27,045
TRIO
5,8,10 4,353
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 5,029
QUARTET
5,8,10,1 135,838
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 33
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/5 856
4/8 221