Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY CHARGE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SMART IDEA second and SPIRITED EXPRESS third. The 2.8 favourite REVE PARISIEN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT 1.09.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 39.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | REVE PARISIEN Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO-/XB/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | KING LAND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 3.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 44.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 6 | 60.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 5 | 27.0 | 20 |
| 12 | 10 | SHADOW MISSION H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 132.0 | 28 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REVE PARISIEN | 29.5% | 3.38 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | BRILLIANT WAY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 10.1% | 9.87 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | SMART IDEA | 9.1% | 11.00 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | XPONENTIAL | 8.9% | 11.27 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 5.2% | 19.38 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT | 5.0% | 19.88 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | KING LAND | 4.0% | 24.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.5% | 28.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.9% | 34.91 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 1.6% | 64.46 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | SHADOW MISSION | 1.1% | 88.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 49
PLACE
1 82.5
6 26.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
6,9 274
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 442.5
1,9 219
6,9 82.5
FORECAST
9,6 416
TIERCE
9,6,1 8,093
TRIO
1,6,9 2,822
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 1,418
QUARTET
9,6,1,7 31,609
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/6 158
3/9 250