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Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT 1.35.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho 11 12.0 3/4
2 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly J Moreira · C W Chang 7 4.7 3/4
3 0 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 3 3.2 3/4
4 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 2 13.0 1-1/4
5 0 PALACE PAL Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 14 15.0 1-3/4
6 0 KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 1 14.0 2-1/4
7 0 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B-/TT- H Bentley · C S Shum 9 38.0 5-1/2
8 0 OSCAR GLORY CP-/V1 C Y Ho · F C Lor 4 7.2 5-3/4
9 0 BIG BROOK Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 6 13.0 6-1/2
10 0 AURORA HERO B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 12 14.0 7-1/2
11 0 CORDYCEPS TWO Led early XB R Maia · C H Yip 10 17.0 8-1/2
12 0 V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 5 90.0 11-3/4
13 0 EMBARKED B/TT M F Poon · W Y So 8 177.0 13-1/4
14 0 BEAUTY NOVA TT1 L Currie · J Size 13 52.0 20-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with PRESIDENT'S CHOICE second and LET'S DO IT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LET'S DO IT finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WOODFIRE BRO—2. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+0.75L3. LET'S DO IT+0.75L4. BEAUTY SPIRIT+1.25L5. PALACE PAL+1.75L6. KING TOURBILLON+2.25L7. REGENCY MASTER+5.5L8. OSCAR GLORY+5.75L9. BIG BROOK+6.5L10. AURORA HERO+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LET'S DO IT (28.6%) finished 3rd — the winner WOODFIRE BRO was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LET'S DO IT 28.6% 3.50 3
2 0 OSCAR GLORY 15.7% 6.36 8
3 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 14.7% 6.82 2
4 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 6.5% 15.39 4
5 0 BIG BROOK 5.9% 16.87 9
6 0 PALACE PAL 5.4% 18.44 5
7 0 WOODFIRE BRO 4.0% 24.76 1
8 0 AURORA HERO 3.9% 25.49 10
9 0 CORDYCEPS TWO 3.9% 25.71 11
10 0 REGENCY MASTER 3.6% 27.59 7
11 0 KING TOURBILLON 2.9% 34.53 6
12 0 EMBARKED 2.1% 48.45 13
13 0 BEAUTY NOVA 1.9% 51.57 14
14 0 V CHEVALIERS 0.8% 121.79 12
LET'S DO ITOSCAR GLORYPRESIDENT'S CHOICEBEAUTY SPIRITBIG BROOKPALACE PALWOODFIRE BRO — wonAURORA HEROCORDYCEPS TWOREGENCY MASTERKING TOURBILLONEMBARKEDBEAUTY NOVAV CHEVALIERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 127

PLACE

1 15

8 39

11 18

QUINELLA

8,11 343.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 86.5

1,11 32

8,11 119

FORECAST

8,11 796

TIERCE

8,11,1 3,128

TRIO

1,8,11 391

FIRST 4

1,6,8,11 1,027

QUARTET

8,11,1,6 28,995

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 23.5

A2 —

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

5/8 912

5/11 107

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,4/5,8,10/1,8,11 40,042,600

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,4/5,8,10/Any Combination 189,535