Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with PRESIDENT'S CHOICE second and LET'S DO IT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LET'S DO IT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT 1.35.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 7 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B-/TT- H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | OSCAR GLORY CP-/V1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 7.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BIG BROOK Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | AURORA HERO B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CORDYCEPS TWO Led early XB R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 90.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | EMBARKED B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 177.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | BEAUTY NOVA TT1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 13 | 52.0 | 20-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LET'S DO IT | 28.6% | 3.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | OSCAR GLORY | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 14.7% | 6.82 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 6.5% | 15.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | BIG BROOK | 5.9% | 16.87 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | PALACE PAL | 5.4% | 18.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | WOODFIRE BRO | 4.0% | 24.76 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | AURORA HERO | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.9% | 25.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.6% | 27.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | KING TOURBILLON | 2.9% | 34.53 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | EMBARKED | 2.1% | 48.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | BEAUTY NOVA | 1.9% | 51.57 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | V CHEVALIERS | 0.8% | 121.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 127
PLACE
1 15
8 39
11 18
QUINELLA
8,11 343.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 86.5
1,11 32
8,11 119
FORECAST
8,11 796
TIERCE
8,11,1 3,128
TRIO
1,8,11 391
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 1,027
QUARTET
8,11,1,6 28,995
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
5/8 912
5/11 107
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/5,8,10/1,8,11 40,042,600
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/5,8,10/Any Combination 189,535