Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 13:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FOREVER FRIENDS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with HAPPY WON second and LEAN HERO third. The 2.5 favourite HAPPY WON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FOREVER FRIENDS H/P 1.11.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY WON V/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 2.5 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | LEAN HERO CP- L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 19.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B-/TT1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | INSPIRING CITY H1 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | OUR PRECIOUS TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPERB MOVE R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FOREVER FRIENDS | 39.0% | 2.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY WON | 30.6% | 3.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | INSPIRING CITY | 15.8% | 6.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | OUR PRECIOUS | 5.1% | 19.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.3% | 23.46 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPERB MOVE | 2.8% | 35.17 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | LEAN HERO | 2.3% | 43.40 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 40.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 11.5
7 45
QUINELLA
1,2 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 21.5
1,7 83.5
2,7 90
FORECAST
1,2 124
TIERCE
1,2,7 872
TRIO
1,2,7 153
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 264
QUARTET
1,2,7,3 4,535
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 15.5
A1 —
A3 —